Brazil Climate Futures

Brazil 2030: Visions of Prosperity in a Climate-Constrained World

Thursday, September 24

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  • Brazil 2030: Visions of Prosperity in a Climate-Constrained World

 

On September 24, 2026, the Lemann Center for Brazilian Studies and the Institute of Latin American Studies at Columbia University will convene Brazil Climate Futures, the inaugural edition of a new policy forum on Brazil, under the theme Brazil 2030: Visions of Prosperity in a Climate-Constrained World.

Coorganized by SIPA’s Institute of Global Politics through a faculty grant and the Society of Fellows and Heyman Center for the Humanities, the forum takes up a question that is far from settled: what does prosperity mean for resource-rich countries in a climate-constrained world—and what does it mean for Brazil, whose wealth lies in agribusiness, oil and gas, and critical minerals?

Bringing together scholars, policymakers, civil society, Indigenous leaders, and the private sector, the forum will put competing visions for Brazil’s development into direct conversation, examining the political choices, trade-offs, and interests behind each. The discussion will then be distilled into a concise policy paper outlining key choices for the decade ahead.

The program will open with a keynote framing these competing visions, followed by three sectoral panels: Agribusiness, Climate, and Global Markets; Oil and Brazil’s Energy Transition; and Critical Minerals and Industrial Transformation.

The forum will take place from 2:30 to 7:30 pm in Room 1501 of the International Affairs Building, followed by a reception.

Sponsors: 

Presented by the Lemann Center for Brazilian Studies (LCBS) and the Institute of Latin American Studies at Columbia University.
Co-organized by Columbia SIPA’s Institute of Global Politics and the Society of Fellows and Heyman Center for the Humanities.
Knowledge Partners: CEBRI, Institute Arapyau and Institute, Climate and Society
Strategic Partners: Rio de Janeiro Columbia Global Center and CEFD

Thursday, September 24, 2026
2:30–7:30 p.m. ET
International Affairs Building, Room 1501

Schedule

2:30-2:40 p.m ET

Welcome Remarks

Daniela Campello, Senior Lecturer in the Discipline of International and Public Affairs

2:55-4:10 p.m ET

Panel 1 —Agribusiness, Climate, and Global Markets

Caio Carvalho, President, Strategic Council, ABAG; Director, Canaplan and Grupo Alto Alegre
Larissa Wachholz, Vallya Participações and Vallya Agro; CEBRI
Raoni Rajão, Professor at UFMG and former senior official at Brazil’s Ministry of the Environment
Sineia Wapichana, Brazil's National Coordinator of the Indigenous Committee on Climate Change (CIMC)
Livia Pagotto, Executive Director, Instituto Arapyau


 

4:25-5:40 p.m ET

Panel 2 — Oil and Brazil’s Energy Transition

Jose Pio Borges, Chairman of CEBRI’s Board of Trustees and a former President of BNDES
Márcio Astrini, Executive Secretary, Observatório do Clima (Climate Observatory) 
Luene Karipuna, Indigenous leader from Oiapoque, Amapá, and a representative of APOIANP, working on territorial rights, climate justice, and protection of the Amazon
Nicolas Lippoli, Founder, CEFD — Centre for Energy, Finance and Development

5:55-7:10 p.m ET

Panel 2 — Critical Minerals and Industrial Transformation

Ana Cabral, Co-Chair and CEO, Sigma Lithium
Rafaela Guedes, Senior Fellow at CEBRI, former Chief Economist at Petrobras 
Barbara Tupinikin, Tupinikim Indigenous agroecology activist and forest engineer
Victoria do Prado, CGEP, Columbia University

7:30 p.m ET

Cocktail Reception

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